⚽ World Cup 2026 Watch
The 2026 FIFA World Cup kicked off June 11 across the US, Mexico, and Canada. While our focus stays on MLB, we couldn't resist a quick lighthearted look at the tournament — group stage matchups, futures bets on group winners and the outright title, and a few fun picks for each.
For entertainment only. This page is a side feature, separate from The Edge Line's tracked picks and units record. Odds shown were current at time of posting and will move before kickoff. This page will come down once the group stage wraps up.
⚽ Dan's Fun Picks Tracker
46-27 Graded picks
France O2.5 ✅ | Algeria U0.5 ✅ | Colombia -1.5 ✅ | USA ML ✅ | Brazil -2.5 ✅ | Morocco ML ✅ | Türkiye ML ❌ | Netherlands ML ✅ | Germany -1.5 ❌ | Ecuador -2.5 ❌ | Japan -2.0 ✅ | Spain SGP ✅ | Belgium -1 ❌ | Uruguay -1 ❌ | Egypt ML ✅ | Argentina ML ✅ | France -2.5 ✅ | Norway ML ✅ | Portugal ML ✅ | England -1.5 ❌ | Croatia ML ✅ | Panama DC ❌ | Colombia ML ✅ | Brazil ML ✅ | Morocco ML ✅ | Germany ML ❌ | Japan ML ❌ | Netherlands ML ✅ | USA ML ❌ | France ML ✅ | Spain ML ✅ | Belgium ML ✅ | France SGP ❌ | Spain SGP ❌ | Senegal ML ✅ | Canada ML ✅ | Brazil ML ✅ | Netherlands ML ❌ | Norway ML ✅ | Haaland Score ✅ | France ML ✅ | Mexico ML ✅ | England WTN ❌ | Belgium ML ✅ | USA -1 ✅ | Spain WTN ✅ | Portugal ML ✅ | Switzerland ML ✅ | Egypt ML ❌ | Argentina -2.5 ❌ | Messi 2G ❌ | Colombia ML ✅ | Colombia Group K ✅ | Morocco 3-0 ✅ | David SOT ✅ | Olise/Dem SGP ❌ | Mbappe SGP ❌ | Norway Advance ✅ | Haaland SGP ✅ | Mexico Advance ❌ | Spain Advance ✅ | USA Advance ❌ | Spain QF ✅ | Norway QF ❌ | Haaland QF ❌ | France SF ❌ | England SF BTTS ✅ | England SF ❌ | Bellingham AGS ✅ | Mbappe+Kane Parlay ❌ | Either SOT Final ✅ | Final U2.5 ✅
Colombia won Group K (+200) — CASHED ✅ · Panama to advance from Group L — ELIMINATED (Croatia win ended it)
🏆 Final
July 19🇪🇸 Spain vs. Argentina 🇦🇷
Dan's Pick ✅Either Team to Register 1+ Shot — trivially cashed in a World Cup Final. Both sides created chances throughout 90 minutes and extra time before Ferran Torres buried a volley in the 106th minute to seal it for Spain.
Dan's Pick ✅Under 2.5 Goals (90 mins) — 0-0 through 90 minutes. Enzo Fernández's red card at 90+3' left Argentina with 10 men in extra time and Torres punished them in the 106th. The defensive final we predicted — Under cashed with room to spare.
🥉 Third Place
July 18 · Today🇫🇷 France vs. England 🏴
The AngleThird-place games at this World Cup have been among the most entertaining of the tournament — neither side plays with the defensive caution of a knockout semifinal, and individual players use the platform to chase personal milestones. Mbappé enters needing one goal to tie the all-time World Cup scoring record. Kane is England's all-time leading scorer in tournament play. Both forwards have every reason to be aggressive from minute one.
Dan's Pick ✅Bellingham Anytime Goalscorer — Bellingham scored in the 90+8th minute to cap off a wild 6-4 England win. He was exactly what the pick promised: the player who decides big moments. England 6, France 4 — both sides wide open from the first whistle, and Bellingham delivered late.
Dan's Pick ❌Mbappé + Kane Both Anytime Goalscorer — Mbappé delivered with two goals (48' and 66') and set the all-time World Cup scoring record. But Harry Kane went scoreless — England's 6 goals came from Rice, Konsa, Saka (×2), and Bellingham. Kane's blank killed the parlay despite Mbappé's brace.
Semifinals
July 14–15🇫🇷 France vs. Spain 🇪🇸
Dan's Pick ❌France to advance (SGP: France ML + Mbappé to score + Over 2.5 goals) — Spain were simply dominant. Oyarzabal converted a penalty in the 22nd minute and Porro added a second in the 58th. France couldn't unlock the Spanish defense all game and Mbappé was held scoreless. Only 2 total goals meant the over failed too. Spain advance to the final. All legs lost.
🏴 England vs. Argentina 🇦🇷
Dan's Pick ❌England to win with Bellingham as the star — most of it didn't land. Anthony Gordon scored for England in the 55th, Enzo Fernández equalized in the 85th (Messi assist), then Lautaro Martínez broke English hearts in extra time (Messi assist again). Bellingham was held scoreless, 0-0 at half time killed the 1st-half goal SGP, and Kane didn't score either. The one bright spot: Both Teams to Score (incl. ET) ✅ — the BTTS bet cashed and softened the blow. Argentina advance to face Spain in the final.
Past Days & Futures ArchiveDays 1–27, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, plus group winner / outright futures
Quarterfinals
July 9–11🇳🇴 Norway vs. England 🏴
Norway to Advance: +162
England to Advance: -200
Dan's Pick ❌Norway to Advance — England 2–1 AET. Bellingham scored a brace for England. Schjelderup pulled one back for Norway in extra time but it wasn't enough. Haaland was held scoreless, voiding the Haaland score leg of the SGP. Norway eliminated. Haaland top goalscorer futures also dead.
🇦🇷 Argentina vs. Switzerland 🇨🇭
Argentina to Advance: -334
Switzerland to Advance: +250
ResultArgentina 3–1 AET — Mac Allister, Álvarez, and Lautaro scored for Argentina. Switzerland pulled one back but couldn't stop the comeback. Argentina advance to face England in the semifinal on July 15.
🇪🇸 Spain vs. Belgium 🇧🇪
Dan's Pick ✅Spain to advance — the reigning champions with one of the deepest squads left in the tournament. Fabián Ruiz opened the scoring before De Ketelaere equalized for Belgium, but Mikel Merino came off the bench with the winner in the 88th minute. Spain advance to face France in the semifinal on July 14.
🇫🇷 France vs. Morocco 🇲🇦
ResultFrance 2–0 Morocco — Mbappé missed a first-half penalty but made up for it with a goal and assist after the break. Dembélé added the second in the 66th. France dominated 3.04 xG to 0.14. Les Bleus advance to face Spain in the semifinal on July 14.
Day 27 — Round of 16
Tuesday, July 7🇦🇷 Argentina vs. Egypt 🇪🇬
ResultArgentina down 2-0, then scored three unanswered from the 79th minute — Messi (pen) and Enzo Fernández header for the winner. Stunning comeback. Argentina advance.
🇨🇭 Switzerland vs. Colombia 🇨🇴
ResultGoalless through 120 minutes. Switzerland win 4-3 on penalties — their first quarterfinal since 1954. Colombia eliminated.
Day 26 — Round of 16
Monday, July 6🇵🇹 Portugal vs. Spain 🇪🇸
Result ✅Spain 1-0 Portugal — Mikel Merino off the bench with an injury-time winner. Ronaldo's final World Cup ends in defeat. Dan's Pick (Spain) ✅. 1-0 on this game.
🇺🇸 USA vs. Belgium 🇧🇪
Result ❌Belgium 4-1 USA — host nation eliminated in a lopsided loss. Dan's Pick (USA) ❌. 0-1 on this game.
Day 25 — Round of 16
Sunday, July 5🇧🇷 Brazil vs. Norway 🇳🇴
Result ✅✅Norway stun Brazil 2–1. Haaland scored a brace — header in the 79th, stunning long-range in the 90th. Neymar pulled one back in stoppage time but it was too late. Dan's Pick (Norway to Advance) ✅ and the SGP (Norway + Haaland Score + Haaland 2+ SOT) ✅ — both cash. 2-0 on this game.
🇲🇽 Mexico vs. England 🏴
Result ❌England won 3–2 in a wild one. Bellingham brace put England up 2-0, Quinones pulled one back before half. England went down to 10 men (red card, 54th min) but Kane converted a pen to go 3-1 before Mexico's late Jimenez pen made it 3-2. Dan's Pick (Mexico) ❌ and the Norway+Mexico parlay ❌. 0-2 on this game.
Day 24 — Round of 16
Saturday, July 4🇨🇦 Canada vs. Morocco 🇲🇦
Result ✅Morocco 3-0 Canada — dominant. Ounahi brace. Morocco ML (-138) and David SOT (+125) both cash. 2-0 day.
🇵🇾 Paraguay vs. France 🇫🇷
Result ❌France 1-0 Paraguay — Mbappe penalty. Too tight for the SGP props. Both Olise/Dembele SGP and Mbappe SGP lose. 0-2 on this game.
Day 23 — Round of 32
Friday, July 3🇦🇺 Australia vs. Egypt 🇪🇬
Australia: +230
Draw: +190
Egypt: +150
Dan's PickEgypt ML — Egypt are the stronger side despite being listed as the 90-minute underdog in the 3-way market. The books have Egypt to advance, which tells the real story. Getting the team favored to go through is excellent value — books expect Egypt to win, just possibly via extra time or penalties, which this market doesn't cover. Back Egypt to get the job done in 90.
Result ❌Egypt 1-1 Australia (AET) — Egypt drew in 90 minutes; the 3-way ML bet loses. Egypt did advance on penalties (4-2) but the 90-minute market was a draw. LOSS.
🇦🇷 Argentina vs. Cape Verde 🇨🇻
Argentina: -650
Draw: +700
Cape Verde: +1900
Fun PickArgentina -2.5 Goals (+140) — -650 on the ML is unplayable but plus money on Argentina to win by 3 or more is a real play. Messi, Álvarez, and Di María against Cape Verde in Miami is as lopsided as it gets. Argentina have been dominant all tournament and Cape Verde have a ceiling here. The +140 on a dominant Argentina win is the value angle.
Result ❌Argentina 3-2 Cape Verde — closer than expected. Argentina only won by one, -2.5 doesn't cover. LOSS.
Dan's PickMessi 2+ Goals — Mbappé just scored twice for France and Messi is on a mission for the Golden Boot. He has goal involvements in each of his last three matches and Cape Verde are the perfect opponent to pad the stat sheet. Messi going full Messi against a heavy underdog is exactly the kind of spot you back the GOAT.
Result ❌Messi scored once — just 1 goal, needed 2+. Cape Verde made it tough. LOSS.
🇨🇴 Colombia vs. Ghana 🇬🇭
Colombia: -195
Draw: +280
Ghana: +650
Dan's PickColombia ML — Colombia advance and the Group K futures ticket stays live. Colombia are the stronger side and — this is one of the more straightforward matchups of the knockout round. Ghana have quality but Colombia's attack is in another tier. Back Colombia to advance and keep the futures ticket alive.
Result ✅Colombia 1-0 Ghana — Jhon Arias in the 14th minute. Colombia advance, futures ticket stays live. WIN.
Day 22 — Round of 32
Thursday, July 2🇪🇸 Spain vs. Austria 🇦🇹
Spain: -350
Draw: +450
Austria: +1000
Dan's PickSpain Win to Nil — Spain on the ML is too much juice but Spain Win to Nil is much better value. The reigning World Cup champions have one of the best defensive setups in the tournament and Austria aren't going to threaten them. Spain controlled every match in the group stage and a clean sheet is the expected outcome here.
Result ✅Spain 3-0 Austria — dominant from start to finish. Clean sheet, 3 goals, Dan's Pick cashes. WIN.
🇵🇹 Portugal vs. Croatia 🇭🇷
Portugal: -138
Draw: +270
Croatia: +400
Dan's PickPortugal ML — Rúben Neves, Bruno Fernandes, and Ronaldo have the quality to handle Croatia in a straight knockout. on a Portugal team that looked sharp in the group stage. Croatia are always dangerous in knockouts but Portugal's attacking depth is on a different level.
Result ✅Portugal 2-1 Croatia — Portugal come from behind to win. Dan's Pick at -138 cashes. WIN.
🇨🇭 Switzerland vs. Algeria 🇩🇿
Switzerland: -110
Draw: +230
Algeria: +333
Fun PickSwitzerland ML (-110) — Switzerland consistently punches above their weight in tournaments and -110 is essentially a pick-em on a team that made the quarterfinals in 2022. Algeria have quality but Switzerland's tactical discipline and knockout experience make them the play.
Fun Pick3-Team Parlay: Spain WTN + Portugal ML + Switzerland ML — all three feel like solid plays individually. Combined the parlay pays +323 and all three make sense. Spain WTN anchors it, Portugal and Switzerland complete it.
Result ✅Switzerland 2-0 Algeria — comfortable win, parlay sweeps 3-0. All three legs cash. WIN.
Day 21 — Round of 32
Wednesday, July 1🏴 England vs. DR Congo 🇨🇩
England: -350
Draw: +400
DR Congo: +1400
Fun PickEngland Win to Nil (-138) — -350 on the ML is unplayable but England keeping a clean sheet against DR Congo at +1400 is a much better market. England's back line is top quality and DR Congo's attack won't trouble them. Even money on a dominant England clean sheet win is the play here.
Result ❌England 2-1 DR Congo — England won but DR Congo scored, costing us the Win to Nil. LOSS.
🇧🇪 Belgium vs. Senegal 🇸🇳
Belgium: +115
Draw: +220
Senegal: +270
Dan's PickBelgium ML — the standout value on today's slate. In a 3-way market where the draw is available, Belgium at plus money with De Bruyne, Trossard, and Lukaku is genuinely mispriced. Senegal are a strong side but Belgium have the quality to advance, and getting plus money on them is exactly where the edge is.
Result ✅Belgium 3-2 Senegal (AET) — Belgium came from behind to win in extra time. Dan's Pick at +115 cashes. WIN.
🇺🇸 USA vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina 🇧🇦
USA: -264
Draw: +400
Bosnia: +650
Dan's PickUSA -1 Goal (3-way)— USA at home in Santa Clara should win comfortably and even money on a 2+ goal margin is great value. the ML is too much juice to grind — the -1 handicap is the smarter play if you believe in a comfortable US win, which the home crowd and talent gap strongly suggest.
Fun PickUSA ML — parlay leg only. The home crowd in Santa Clara will be electric and Bosnia have no answer for the US attack on this stage.
Result ✅USA 2-0 Bosnia-Herzegovina — comfortable home win, -1 handicap covered. WIN.
Day 20 — Round of 32
Tuesday, June 30🇨🇮 Ivory Coast vs. Norway 🇳🇴
Ivory Coast: +260
Draw: +240
Norway: +110
Dan's PickNorway ML — Haaland fit and starting, plus money on a team with the best striker in the world. Norway in a 3-way market was mispriced.
Result ✅Norway 2-1 Ivory Coast — Haaland delivered. Norway advance to the Round of 16. WIN.
🇨🇮 Haaland SGP — Ivory Coast vs. Norway
Result ✅Haaland to Score or Assist (-138) — Haaland delivered in the SGP. Norway 2-1. WIN.
🇫🇷 France vs. Sweden 🇸🇪
France: -400
Sweden: +1000
Result ✅France 3-0 Sweden — a dominant performance. Mbappé and co. were never in doubt. France advance comfortably. WIN.
🇲🇽 Mexico vs. Ecuador 🇪🇨
Mexico: +120
Ecuador: +290
Dan's PickMexico ML — El Tri at home in Mexico City with every environmental advantage.
Result ✅Mexico 2-0 Ecuador — comfortable home win. Plus money on El Tri in Mexico City delivered. WIN.
Day 19 — Round of 32
Monday, June 29🇧🇷 Brazil vs. Japan 🇯🇵
Brazil: -140
Japan: +420
Dan's PickBrazil ML — Vinicius, Rodrygo, and Endrick are a generational attacking trio and Brazil are a genuine title contender. Japan are organized and dangerous on the counter — they knocked out Germany and Spain in 2022 — but in a true 2-way knockout market is a fair price on one of the best squads in the world. Back Brazil to advance.
Result ✅Brazil 2-1 Japan — Vinicius opened the scoring, Japan equalized but Brazil found the winner late. Brazil advance to the Round of 16. WIN.
🇩🇪 Germany vs. Paraguay 🇵🇾
Germany: -290
Paraguay: +825
Result ✅Skipped the -290 juice — correct call. Germany drew 1-1 and lost on penalties 3-4. Paraguay advance in one of the biggest upsets of the tournament. Dodged a bullet. CORRECT FADE.
🇳🇱 Netherlands vs. Morocco 🇲🇦
Netherlands: +130
Morocco: +250
Dan's PickNetherlands ML — the best-priced bet on today's slate. Plus money on a team of this quality in a knockout game is exactly where the edge is.
Result ❌Netherlands drew 1-1 with Morocco and lost on penalties 2-3. Morocco pull off another World Cup knockout upset. LOSS.
Day 18 — Round of 32
Sunday, June 28🇿🇦 South Africa vs. Canada 🇨🇦
South Africa: +400
Canada: -134
Canada to Advance: -275
Dan's PickCanada ML — first knockout game of the tournament and the market hasn't fully adjusted. The 3-way group stage odds still imply Canada at ~57% but in a true 2-way elimination bracket they're 75%+ to advance. Jonathan David leads the attack, Canada are at home, and South Africa have not faced a striker of his caliber all tournament. Getting Canada in a knockout game is one of the best-priced bets of the World Cup.
Result ✅Canada advanced — Jonathan David and the home crowd delivered. Canada through to the Round of 16. WIN.
Day 17 — Groups J, K & L
Saturday, June 27🇭🇷 Croatia vs. Ghana 🇬🇭
Croatia: -115
Draw: +290
Ghana: +410
Dan's Pick2-leg parlay: Croatia ML + Both Teams to Score (Croatia/Ghana) — Croatia are the class of Group L and should win, but Ghana have shown they can score at this level. The BTTS leg adds real value on top of the ML. Combined with the Panama/England BTTS in a same-parlay for a boosted return.
Fun PickCroatia ML — Croatia's tournament pedigree is unmatched at this level. Ghana are dangerous on the counter but Croatia have the quality and composure to control this game and advance.
🏴 England vs. Panama 🇵🇦
England: -600
Draw: +900
Panama: +1600
Dan's PickBoth Teams to Score — Panama are eliminated but have shown all tournament they won't lay down. England are unplayable on the ML, but backing both teams to score at plus money is the smart angle. Panama can nick a goal even in a comfortable England win.
Fun PickEngland ML (value play via parlay only) — England should win comfortably but -600 is far too short to touch straight. The BTTS angle is far better value here.
🇨🇴 Colombia vs. Portugal 🇵🇹
Colombia: +240
Draw: +240
Portugal: -105
Dan's Pick2-leg parlay: Croatia ML + Colombia Double Chance — Colombia or Draw covers two of three outcomes against a Portugal side that is. The Double Chance removes the outright loss scenario while keeping the futures ticket (Colombia to win Group K, ) fully live. Colombia win here and it's a massive correlated day.
Fun PickColombia ML (+240) — Colombia have been one of the most exciting teams in the tournament and Portugal at -105 is barely a favorite. Plus money on Colombia outright is the value play — and our futures ticket makes a Colombia win even sweeter.
🇦🇹 Austria vs. Algeria 🇩🇿
Austria: +220
Draw: +210
Algeria: +290
Dan's PickAustria Double Chance (Austria or Draw) — part of 2-leg DC parlay with Colombia DC. No team is favored here — it's a genuine 3-way coin flip. Austria DC covers two of the three outcomes in the most open match of the day. The combined parlay is excellent value for two DC legs.
Fun PickAustria ML (+220) — Austria have been underrated all tournament. Algeria are technically the opponent but at +290 the market gives them only a ~25% win probability. Austria at +220 is the best pure value on tonight's slate.
🇨🇩 Congo DR vs. Uzbekistan 🇺🇿
Day 16 — Groups G, H & I
Friday, June 26🇫🇷 France vs. Norway 🇳🇴
France: -144
Draw: +310
Norway: +400
Dan's PickSame-Game Parlay — Haaland to Score Anytime + Mbappé to Score Anytime + Over 2.5 Goals. The two Golden Boot co-leaders go head-to-head in a winner-take-all group final — both have every reason to hunt for goals. The over leg is a natural correlated add in a high-stakes open match. Boosted to, this is the play.
Dan's Pick ❌France 4-1 Norway — France were dominant but Haaland never played (DNP), voiding that leg. Mbappé was subbed off and Mateta came on but didn't score. Over 2.5 ✅ with 5 goals but the SGP loses on the Mateta leg. LOSS.
Result ✅France 4-1 Norway — Les Bleus topped Group I in emphatic fashion. Fun pick wins. WIN.
🇸🇳 Senegal vs. Iraq 🇮🇶
Result ✅Senegal 5-0 Iraq — Senegal -1 leg of Dan's 3-leg parlay cashed easily. WIN.
🇪🇸 Spain vs. Uruguay 🇺🇾
Spain: -185
Draw: +310
Uruguay: +480
Dan's PickSGP: Spain -1 + Nico Williams to Score + Spain to Score in 1st Half ( 30% boost) — Spain are dominant and Williams has been their most dangerous attacker. The -1 spread and first-half goal legs are naturally correlated with a big Spain win.
Result ✅Spain 1-0 Uruguay — Fun pick wins, Spain ML ✅. WIN.
Dan's SGP ❌Spain only won 1-0 — failed to cover -1, and Nico Williams didn't score. SGP loses despite Spain winning. LOSS.
🇨🇻 Cape Verde vs. Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦
Result ✅Cape Verde 0-0 Saudi Arabia — Cape Verde or Tie DC leg cashed. Part of Dan's winning 3-leg parlay ($56.75). WIN.
🇧🇪 Belgium vs. New Zealand 🇳🇿
Belgium: -280
Draw: +430
New Zealand: +750
Dan's Pick2-leg parlay: De Bruyne to Score Anytime + Trezeguet to Score or Assist in Egypt/Iran — Belgium finally show up when it matters and De Bruyne leads the charge. Trezeguet has been Egypt's most dangerous attacker all tournament.
Result ✅Belgium 5-1 New Zealand — Belgium finally let it loose. Fun pick and Dan's parlay both cash — De Bruyne scored, Trezeguet contributed in Egypt/Iran. Dan's 2-leg parlay returned $83.72. WIN.
🇪🇬 Egypt vs. Iran 🇮🇷
Result ✅Egypt 1-1 Iran — Trezeguet scored or assisted, completing Dan's 2-leg parlay. Both teams advance from Group G. WIN (parlay leg).
Day 15 — Groups D, E & F
Thursday, June 25🇩🇪 Germany vs. Ecuador 🇪🇨
Germany: -175
Draw: +320
Ecuador: +450
Fun PickGermany ML — Germany have already clinched Group E (beat Curaçao 7-1, came from behind to top Ivory Coast 2-1) and are the far superior side. Ecuador have been historically awful — they're the first team ever to record 15 shots on goal in a World Cup match without scoring (0-0 vs. Curaçao). Germany should win comfortably even resting some starters.
Result ❌Ecuador 2-1 Germany — a stunning upset. Ecuador conjured World Cup magic when it mattered most, knocking out the tournament favourites. Germany's rotation gamble backfired badly. LOSS.
🇯🇵 Japan vs. Sweden 🇸🇪
Japan: -118
Draw: +260
Sweden: +330
Fun PickJapan ML — Japan sit 2nd in Group F on 4 points, Sweden 3rd on 3. Both need a result, but Japan's organized, high-press style has been excellent — Netherlands thrashed Sweden 5-1 in Group F, exposing their defensive fragility. Japan have the discipline and structure to punish Sweden on the counter.
Result ❌Japan 1-1 Sweden — a draw that left both sides needing results elsewhere to advance. Japan couldn't hold on and Sweden equalised late. ML pick loses (needed a win). LOSS.
🇳🇱 Netherlands vs. Tunisia 🇹🇳
Netherlands: -350
Draw: +500
Tunisia: +900
Fun PickNetherlands ML — the Dutch destroyed Sweden 5-1 and have topped Group F. Tunisia are eliminated. The Oranje have the firepower (Gakpo, Depay, Xavi Simons) and no reason to take their foot off the gas as they tune up for the knockout stage.
Result ✅Netherlands 3-1 Tunisia — the Dutch did what they were supposed to. Controlled from start to finish, group winners confirmed. WIN.
🇺🇸 USA vs. Türkiye 🇹🇷
USA: -145
Draw: +290
Türkiye: +380
Fun PickUSA ML — the USMNT have already clinched Group D as winners (beat Paraguay 4-1, beat Australia 2-0). Türkiye are eliminated. This is technically a dead rubber for both, but the US are playing at SoFi and will want momentum heading into the knockout stage. USMNT to close out the group in style.
Result ❌Türkiye 3-2 USA — heartbreak on the final kick. Pulisic came on late but couldn't prevent Türkiye scoring in stoppage time to steal a dead-rubber win. The US advance as group winners anyway, but the fun pick loses. LOSS.
🇨🇼 Curaçao vs. Ivory Coast 🇨🇮
Day 14 — Groups A, B & C
Wednesday, June 24🇧🇷 Brazil vs. Scotland 🏴
Brazil: -275
Draw: +400
Scotland: +700
Fun PickBrazil ML — Brazil sit top of Group C at 4 points (1W-1D) vs Scotland's 3 (1W-1L). Without Raphinha, Brazil are less potent but still far superior. Scotland need a miracle to advance and will be forced to attack — Brazil should punish them on the break. Clean 2-0 Brazil win is the projection.
Result ✅Brazil 3-0 Scotland — dominant Group C winners. Brazil top the group, advance to the knockout round. WIN.
🇲🇦 Morocco vs. Haiti 🇭🇹
Morocco: -450
Draw: +600
Haiti: +1400
Fun PickMorocco ML — Morocco are through and playing for Group C top spot, Haiti are eliminated. Morocco beat Scotland 1-0 and drew with Brazil — they're a disciplined, well-organized side and Haiti have been outscored 5-0 through two games. Comfortable Morocco win.
Result ✅Morocco 1-0 Haiti — clinical and organized as expected. Morocco finish second in Group C. WIN.
🇨🇭 Switzerland vs. Canada 🇨🇦
🇿🇦 South Africa vs. South Korea 🇰🇷
Day 13 — Group K & L
Tuesday, June 23🇵🇹 Portugal vs. Uzbekistan 🇺🇿
Portugal: -400
Draw: +550
Uzbekistan: +800
Fun PickPortugal ML — Ronaldo and a loaded squad in their second group game. Uzbekistan are heavy underdogs in their World Cup debut. Portugal should control comfortably.
Result ✅Portugal 5-0 Uzbekistan — Ronaldo brace, dominant performance. WIN.
🏴 England vs. Ghana 🇬🇭
England: -300
Draw: +400
Ghana: +800
England -1.5: -166
Fun PickEngland -1.5 (-166) — England have looked sharp and a two-goal margin against Ghana is the honest play. The Three Lions have the pace and quality up front to cover.
Result ❌England 0-0 Ghana — goalless draw, England never found the breakthrough. LOSS on the -1.5.
🇵🇦 Panama vs. Croatia 🇭🇷
Panama: +500
Draw: +300
Croatia: -188
Fun PickCroatia ML — Modric's last dance continues. Croatia are the clearly better side at this level and should control possession and the result.
Result ✅Croatia 1-0 Panama — Croatia controlled throughout, narrow but deserved win. WIN on Croatia ML.
Dan's PickPanama Double Chance — Win or Draw — we have Panama futures to advance, so protecting that ticket with the double chance makes sense.
Result ❌Croatia 1-0 — neither a draw nor a Panama win. LOSS on Panama Double Chance. Panama's advance chances now slim.
🇨🇴 Colombia vs. DR Congo 🇨🇩
Colombia: -188
Draw: +280
DR Congo: +500
Fun PickColombia ML / Group winner futures still live — Colombia winning here locks them as the clear contender for Group K above Portugal. Luis Diaz in form and DR Congo are a significant step down in quality.
Result ✅Colombia 1-0 DR Congo — clinical win, Colombia to 6 points. Group K winner futures looking very alive. WIN.
Day 11 — Groups G & H
Sunday, June 21🇪🇸 Spain vs. Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦
Spain: -1000
Draw: +900
Saudi Arabia: +1800
SGP +210 (boosted)
Dan's PickSpain Same-Game Parlay — the straight ML isn't worth touching, so the move is stacking a same-game parlay: Spain Over 3 Goals, Spain Over 1 Goal in the 1st Half, and Most Corners: Spain. Main leg is the 3.5-goal team total — Spain are deep enough up front to be the highest-scoring side in the tournament so far, and Saudi Arabia don't have the structure to keep the scoreline or the corner count close. The boost turns a short-priced beatdown into real plus-money value.
Result ✅Spain 4-0 Saudi Arabia — Lamine Yamal opened it, Oyarzabal added two, an own goal sealed it. All three parlay legs cash. Spain top Group H with a match to spare. WIN.
🇧🇪 Belgium vs. Iran 🇮🇷
Belgium: -250
Draw: +375
Iran: +600
Belgium -1: +120
Dan's PickBelgium -1 Goal, part of a 2-leg parlay with Uruguay -1 — Opta gives Belgium a 67.5% win probability against an Iran side dealing with reported travel issues heading into the tournament. De Bruyne and a deep attacking corps should be enough not just to win, but to win by 2+. Plus money on the spread instead of grinding the ML.
Result ❌Belgium 0-0 Iran — a stunner. Belgium went down to 10 men in the second half after a professional foul denied Taremi a clear breakaway, and Beiranvand made 7 saves to preserve the shutout. Belgium -1 loses badly. LOSS.
🇺🇾 Uruguay vs. Cape Verde 🇨🇻
Uruguay: -220
Draw: +300
Cape Verde: +550
Uruguay -1: +125
Dan's PickUruguay -1 Goal, part of a 2-leg parlay with Belgium -1 — Núñez and Bentancur lead a side that should be too strong for Cape Verde, who are appearing in their first-ever World Cup. Plus money on a 2+ goal margin instead of paying short juice on the ML.
Result ❌Uruguay 2-2 Cape Verde — a massive shock. Kevin Pina's long-range free kick put Cape Verde up early, and despite Uruguay's comeback, Cape Verde leveled again to steal a point. Uruguay -1 loses outright — didn't even win. LOSS.
🇳🇿 New Zealand vs. Egypt 🇪🇬
New Zealand: +400
Draw: +250
Egypt: -138
Fun PickEgypt ML — Mohamed Salah's quality at the top of the pitch makes Egypt the side with the higher ceiling here, even with New Zealand a respectable side at this level.
Result ✅New Zealand 1-3 Egypt — Surman's header gave the Kiwis an early lead, but Salah and Trézéguet led the comeback. Egypt's first-ever World Cup win. WIN.
Day 12 — Groups I & J
Monday, June 22🇦🇷 Argentina vs. Austria 🇦🇹
Argentina: -167
Draw: +300
Austria: +475
Fun PickArgentina ML — both sides won their openers by multiple goals, setting up a real first-place battle. Messi and the defending champs have too much firepower and tournament pedigree to slip here.
Result ✅Argentina 2-0 Austria — Messi scored a historic goal (his 17th World Cup goal, a new all-time record passing Klose), Argentina controlled comfortably. WIN.
🇫🇷 France vs. Iraq 🇮🇶
France: -1200
France -2.5: -120
Over 3.5: -102
Dan's PickFrance -2.5 Goals — the straight ML is unbettable. The spread is the honest play; Iraq haven't played a World Cup since 1986.
Result ✅France 3-0 Iraq — Mbappé with a brace (delayed by a 2-hour storm stoppage at halftime). Covered -2.5 comfortably. WIN.
🇳🇴 Norway vs. Senegal 🇸🇳
Norway: +120
Draw: +220
Senegal: +250
Dan's PickNorway ML — real plus-money value on the side multiple models actually favor. Haaland gives Norway a higher ceiling than Senegal.
Result ✅Norway 3-2 Senegal — Haaland with two goals, Norway held on in a thriller. Plus-money winner. WIN.
🇯🇴 Jordan vs. Algeria 🇩🇿
Fun PickAlgeria to advance — Jordan are massive underdogs in their World Cup debut.
Result ✅Algeria 2-1 Jordan — Algeria came from behind on two corner-kick goals in the second half. They advance from Group J and set up a decisive match vs. Austria. Algeria advances.
Futures & Outright Bets
Group winners, advancement, and the title🇨🇴 Colombia to Win Group K
Colombia: +200
Portugal: -185
Dan's PickColombia to win Group K — Portugal is the seeded favorite and odds-on (~65% implied), but this is being framed as a genuine two-horse race. Colombia offers real value if they can take the head-to-head with Portugal.
🇵🇦 Panama to Advance from Group L
Panama to advance: +200
Panama to exit group stage: +140 (2/5)
Dan's PickPanama to advance out of Group L — a tough draw with England and Croatia at the top, but with 66.6% of teams advancing under the expanded 48-team format, Panama has a real path as one of the better third-place teams if they can take points off Ghana and steal a result.
🏆 World Cup Outright Winner
🇪🇸 Spain
+450
🇫🇷 France
+500
🇦🇷 Argentina
+1000
🏴 England
+700
🇧🇷 Brazil
+850
🇵🇹 Portugal
+850
Fun PickSpain (+450) — the reigning Nations League champs and slight market favorites over France, with a deep, balanced squad that's looked the most complete side over the last two years.
Alt AngleArgentina (+1000) — the defending champs at long odds. Back-to-back titles are rare, but this squad has the pedigree and a chip on its shoulder.
More Group Winner & Advancement Markets
Day 1 — Group A
Thursday, June 11🇲🇽 Mexico vs. South Africa 🇿🇦
Mexico ML: -190 to -245
Draw: +350
South Africa: +700 to +800
Total: O/U 2.5
Fun PickMexico ML — hosts in the opener at a packed Azteca, riding the home crowd. Host nations have a strong history in tournament openers (Russia 2018 won 5-0; Qatar's 2022 loss is the rare exception).
Alt AngleUnder 2.5 — opening matches are often cagey, and the market favors the under here too.
🇰🇷 South Korea vs. Czechia 🇨🇿
South Korea: +162
Czechia: +175
Draw: +210
Total: U2.5 (-141)
Fun PickDraw at +210 — models lean toward a 1-1 finish, with Son Heung-min's quality offset by Czechia's grit and Schick's finishing.
Day 2 — Groups B & D
Friday, June 12🇨🇦 Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦
Canada ML: -120 to -130
Draw: +280 to +340
Bosnia: +340 to +370
Dan's PickCanada ML — co-hosts opening on home soil at BMO Field with a golden-generation squad (Davies, David) at peak maturity. Canada are short favorites for a reason, and home crowd energy in a tournament opener is a real edge.
🇺🇸 USA vs. Paraguay 🇵🇾
USA ML: -105 to -115
Paraguay: +260 to +320
Draw: +230
Fun PickUSA ML, but it's close — the most likely scoreline projected is USA 1-0 (~13% probability). Tight, low-scoring host-opener vibes.
Alt AngleUnder 2.5 — fits the projected 1-0 scoreline.
ResultUSA 4-1 Paraguay — the USMNT blew the doors off in a dominant World Cup opener at SoFi Stadium. So much for the cagey 1-0 projection.
Day 3 — Groups B, C & D
Saturday, June 13🇧🇷 Brazil vs. Morocco 🇲🇦
Brazil ML: -175
Draw: +300
Morocco: +425
Total: O2.5 (~56%)
BTTS: Yes (~54%)
Fun PickBrazil ML + Over 2.5 + BTTS Yes (parlay for fun) — Brazil has the firepower to break Morocco down, but Morocco's pace on the counter (remember the 2022 semifinal run) makes an open, attacking game likely.
🇶🇦 Qatar vs. Switzerland 🇨🇭
Switzerland ML: -334 to -350
Draw: +450
Qatar: +850 to +950
Fun PickSwitzerland ML — the Swiss have reached the Round of 16 in each of the last three World Cups, while Qatar lost all three group games as hosts in 2022, scoring just one goal and allowing seven. Heavily lopsided on paper.
Alt AngleSwitzerland -1.5 — if the talent gap shows up early, the Swiss could be comfortably ahead by halftime.
🇭🇹 Haiti vs. Scotland 🏴
Haiti double chance: +185
Scotland favored
Fun PickHaiti double chance (+185) — a debut-tournament squad with nothing to lose against a Scotland side that has historically struggled to find the net in tournament openers. A draw or upset keeps this plus-money ticket alive.
Alt AngleJust watch this one — Haiti's first-ever World Cup appearance is a genuinely special sports moment regardless of the bet.
🇦🇺 Australia vs. Türkiye 🇹🇷
Türkiye favored
Australia underdog
Fun PickTürkiye ML — ranked No. 13 in the world (well ahead of Australia's No. 24), Türkiye enters as the favorite in a group that already saw the USA open with a statement 4-1 win. A Türkiye win would set up an interesting top-of-table picture in Group D.
Day 4 — Groups E & F
Sunday, June 14🇩🇪 Germany vs. Curaçao 🇨🇼
Germany ML: -3300
Draw: +1600
Curaçao: +4000
Fun PickGermany -2.5 / -3.5 team total — Germany has won 9 straight in the buildup, scoring 28 goals total and dropping 4+ on Finland, Switzerland, Slovakia, and Luxembourg. Curaçao (smallest nation by population to ever qualify) recently lost 5-1 to Australia and 4-1 to Scotland. The moneyline isn't worth the juice, but a "Germany to win by 3+" prop could be fun.
🇳🇱 Netherlands vs. Japan 🇯🇵
Netherlands: 11/10
Draw: 13/5
Japan: 11/4
Fun PickNetherlands ML, modest lean — closer than the odds suggest. Japan has been a tough out in recent tournaments (beat Germany and Spain in the 2022 group stage).
🇨🇮 Ivory Coast vs. Ecuador 🇪🇨
🇸🇪 Sweden vs. Tunisia 🇹🇳
Day 6 — Groups G, H, I & J
Tuesday, June 16🇫🇷 France vs. Senegal 🇸🇳
France: -220
Draw: +350
Senegal: +600
O2.5: -134
U2.5: +110
Dan's PickOver 2.5 Goals — France have scored multiple goals in 9 of their last 10 matches, and Senegal have matched that in 8 of 9. Both sides carry genuine attacking firepower into this Group I opener, and the 2.5 total looks light given how freely goals have been flowing in the early rounds.
Result ✅France 3-1 Senegal — Mbappé brace sealed it. Over 2.5 Goals hits with room to spare. WIN.
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay 🇺🇾
Uruguay: -175
Draw: +270
Saudi Arabia: +450
Fun PickUruguay ML — La Celeste are the class of this matchup with Darwin Núñez and Rodrigo Bentancur anchoring a dangerous side. Saudi Arabia pulled off the famous Argentina upset in 2022 but that squad has aged out. Uruguay should handle business here.
🇮🇶 Iraq vs. Norway 🇳🇴
Norway: -190
Draw: +310
Iraq: +500
Fun PickNorway ML — Erling Haaland makes this a one-man show in terms of sheer goal threat. Iraq are appearing in their first World Cup since 1986 and haven't faced an opponent of this caliber in a generation.
🇦🇷 Argentina vs. Algeria 🇩🇿
Argentina: -270
Draw: +360
Algeria: +850
Algeria U0.5 Goals: -125
Dan's PickAlgeria Under 0.5 Goals — the defending champions have kept 7 clean sheets in their last 8 matches and outscored opponents 18-1 in their last 7 wins. Algeria are back at the World Cup for the first time since 2014, and with only a 15% both-teams-to-score probability projected, backing Argentina's defense to shut them out is the play.
Alt AngleArgentina -1.5 — if you want the win covered, La Albiceleste should be rolling in this one.
Result ✅Argentina 3-0 Algeria — Messi hat-trick, Algeria blanked. Algeria Under 0.5 Goals nails it. WIN.
Day 7 — Groups A, B, C, K & L
Wednesday, June 17🇺🇿 Uzbekistan vs. Colombia 🇨🇴
Colombia: -267
Draw: +370
Uzbekistan: +800
Colombia -1.5 goals
Dan's PickColombia -1.5 Goals — Colombia are heavy favorites against a first-time World Cup qualifier in Uzbekistan, playing at the Azteca in an electric atmosphere. Los Cafeteros have the attacking talent (Díaz, Córdoba, Arias) to run this score up, and Uzbekistan lack the defensive structure to keep it close. A two-goal Colombian win is the most likely result.
Result ✅Colombia 3-1 Uzbekistan — won by 2 goals. Colombia -1.5 cashes. WIN.
Day 8 — Groups A, B & K
Thursday, June 18🇲🇽 Mexico vs. South Korea 🇰🇷
Mexico: -140
Draw: +280
South Korea: +380
Fun PickMexico ML — the hosts opened the tournament with a dominant showing (South Africa got two red cards in a 2-0 loss). Mexico at home in Guadalajara is a tough out and they need the points to advance from a competitive Group A.
Result ✅Mexico 1-0 South Korea — Mexico edge it. ML holds. WIN.
🇨🇦 Canada vs. Qatar 🇶🇦
Canada: -700+
Qatar: +2000+
Fun PickCanada Over team total — Canada open at home against the weakest team in the tournament. Qatar lost all three group games in 2022 scoring once. Jonathan David and Alphonso Davies on home soil should run riot.
Result ✅Canada 6-0 Qatar — a historic rout. Canada are top of Group B in dominant fashion.
🇨🇿 Czechia vs. South Africa 🇿🇦
ResultCzechia 1-1 South Africa — a surprise draw. South Africa (who lost two players to red cards vs Mexico) battle back for a point.
🇨🇭 Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦
ResultSwitzerland 4-1 Bosnia — the Swiss are rolling. They look like a genuine dark horse out of Group B.
Day 9 — Groups C & D
Friday, June 19🇺🇸 USA vs. Australia 🇦🇺
USA: -160
Draw: +310
Australia: +420
Fun PickUSA ML — the USMNT came out swinging with a 4-1 statement over Paraguay. Australia upset Turkey 2-0 in their opener so this is a genuine battle — both sides are already in good shape to advance. USA at home in Seattle with another crowd advantage makes them the play.
Alt AngleOver 2.5 Goals — two attacking sides who both opened with multi-goal performances. Goals should flow.
Result ✅USA 2-0 Australia — ML hits and the USMNT clinch a knockout-round spot early. WIN. (Over 2.5 missed, just 2 goals.)
🇧🇷 Brazil vs. Haiti 🇭🇹
Brazil: -600
Draw: +900
Haiti: +2000
Fun PickBrazil Over team total / -2.5 — Brazil drew their opener 0-0 with Morocco (another contender) but this is a completely different proposition. Haiti are first-timers playing the five-time champions. Rodrygo, Vinicius Jr., and Endrick should have a field day. The moneyline (-600) isn't worth it — a Brazil -2.5 prop is the way.
Result ✅Brazil 3-0 Haiti — exactly a 3-goal margin. Brazil -2.5 cashes right on the number. WIN.
🏴 Scotland vs. Morocco 🇲🇦
Morocco: -160
Draw: +290
Scotland: +420
Fun PickMorocco ML — the Atlas Lions held Brazil scoreless in the group opener, which is legitimately impressive. Scotland are still looking for a tournament win. Morocco's organized defense and Hakimi/En-Nesyri combo gives them the edge.
Alt AngleUnder 2.5 Goals — Morocco held Brazil to 0 last match. Scotland don't score freely. A tight, low-scoring game fits both teams' profiles.
Result ✅Morocco 1-0 Scotland — ML and Under 2.5 both cash. Morocco now tied atop Group C with Brazil. WIN.
🇹🇷 Türkiye vs. Paraguay 🇵🇾
Türkiye: -110
Draw: +270
Paraguay: +310
Fun PickTürkiye ML — despite the shocking 2-0 loss to Australia, Turkey has too much quality to go out early (Calhanoglu, Guler, Yildiz). Paraguay was rolled 4-1 by the USA. Türkiye needs a win to keep their Round of 32 hopes alive and should bounce back here.
Result ❌Türkiye 0-1 Paraguay — the upset continues. Turkey now 0-2 and in real danger of an early exit. LOSS.
Day 10 — Groups E & F
Saturday, June 20🇳🇱 Netherlands vs. Sweden 🇸🇪
Netherlands: -163
Draw: +300
Sweden: +400
Total: O/U 2.5 (-120/-120)
Fun PickNetherlands ML — the Dutch opened with a narrow win over Japan and remain the clear class of this group. Sweden have been inconsistent in qualifying. A tight line on the total (-120 both ways) suggests a competitive game, but the Dutch should find a way through.
Alt AngleUnder 2.5 Goals — even money both ways usually means the market expects a close, low-event game. Fits a cagey Group F matchup.
Result ✅Netherlands 5-1 Sweden — a complete blowout. ML hits easily, Under 2.5 misses. WIN (ML).
🇩🇪 Germany vs. Ivory Coast 🇨🇮
Germany: -188
Draw: +320
Ivory Coast: +450
Germany -1.5: +125
Dan's PickGermany -1.5 Goals — Germany have been an absolute scoring machine in the buildup (28 goals in a 9-game winning streak heading into the tournament) and already put a statement performance on Curaçao. Ivory Coast have talent up top but a leaky enough defense to give up multiple goals. Plus money on a 2+ goal German margin is good value given how this team has been finishing teams off.
Result ❌Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast — the ML wins but Ivory Coast got one back, so the -1.5 spread misses by exactly one goal. LOSS (spread).
🇪🇨 Ecuador vs. Curaçao 🇨🇼
Ecuador: -550
Draw: +600
Curaçao: +1200
Ecuador -2.5: +115
Dan's PickEcuador -2.5 Goals — the moneyline isn't worth touching, but the spread is real value. Curaçao have been run over 5-1 by Australia and 4-1 by Scotland in the buildup, and Germany already dropped a beating on them in the opener. Ecuador are well-organized and physical with enough quality up top (Valencia, Plata) to win by 3+. Plus money on a comfortable margin is the play here.
Alt AngleCuraçao — the smallest nation by population to ever qualify for a World Cup. Worth watching for the story alone, regardless of the score.
Result ❌Ecuador 0-0 Curaçao — stunner. Keeper Eloy Room made 15 saves (tying the World Cup record) to earn Curaçao's first-ever World Cup point. Ecuador had 15 shots and didn't score. -2.5 spread loses badly. LOSS.
🇹🇳 Tunisia vs. Japan 🇯🇵
Japan: -188
Draw: +310
Tunisia: +600
Total: O/U 2.5 (Over +110)
Japan -2.0: +400
Dan's PickJapan ML — Tunisia were run over 5-1 by Sweden in their opener while Japan drew 2-2 with the Netherlands, showing real quality up top even in a result that didn't go their way. Japan are unbeaten all-time in head-to-head meetings with Tunisia. Straightforward favorite in a clear mismatch.
Fun PickJapan -2.0 (+400) with a safety net — this is the blowout-or-bust angle. Group stage form so far has trended toward lopsided scores (Sweden 5-1, Canada 6-0, Germany running up scores), and a shaky Tunisia side that just got embarrassed could fold the same way. Expert consensus leans toward a tighter 1-0/1-1 type game, which is exactly why the safety net matters here — it protects the downside if Japan only wins by 1, while still paying out big if the blowout instinct is right.
Alt AngleOver 2.5 Goals (+110) — plus money on the Over here is a signal the market isn't fully confident in a clean Japan shutout. Japan have scoring quality, and a deflated Tunisia defense could leak at least one back.
Result ✅Tunisia 0-4 Japan — the blowout instinct called it perfectly. Ueda scored twice, Kamada notched the fastest goal of the tournament. Japan -2.0 cashes easily, Over 2.5 also hits. The largest margin of victory at this World Cup so far. WIN.
All odds as of June 11–21, 2026 and subject to change. This page is a fun side feature and not part of The Edge Line's tracked record — check the Picks page for our actual MLB track record.