Blog

Our 2026 MLB postseason preview covers the Wild Card matchups, key pitching angles, and the teams we're targeting heading into October baseball.

The same matchup-based research that finds value in MLB walk props applies directly to NFL player props. Here are five angles the books consistently undervalue.

Our top preseason NFL futures plays — the Rams at +800 for the Super Bowl, Bengals OVER 9.5, 49ers to the NFC title at +275, and the Broncos UNDER. Lock in these prices before preseason moves the market.

Acuña homered 421 feet off Jake Irvin in his return from a hamstring strain and immediately shot back to the top of the daily model. Here's why he's the highest H+R+RBI ceiling in baseball when healthy — and how the projection model works.

Elite K/9 pitchers like Skenes, Cease, and Greene are consistently mispriced in strikeout prop markets. Here's the full framework for finding value — and why the higher line at plus money beats the lower line at juice every time.

A full recap of the second half of July — the model hit 70%, the POTD went 8-5, and we ran into a maddening pattern of winning the moneyline while losing the run line by exactly one run. Five times.

Complete 2026 NFL season preview breaking down all 8 divisions with win total grades, division winner picks, and our top betting edges heading into the season.

Skenes vs. Imanaga headlines Saturday, Yamamoto at Citi Field is the POTD, and Misiorowski gives us the best K-prop of the weekend on Sunday against Freeland and Colorado.

The All-Star break is over. A first half recap and second half preview covering division races, elite starters, breakout players, and what the H+R+RBI projection model is targeting the rest of the way.

The second half gets rolling with a loaded three-day slate — Sale at home, Singer at Coors, TOR vs the worst ERA in the AL, and LAD @ NYY for Sunday Night Baseball.

A day-by-day breakdown of our World Cup betting run — the big wins (Colombia Group K futures, Morocco ML at +240), the rough patches, and the strategy behind fading heavy favorites.

Yamamoto went 10 Ks, Freeman went deep, and our H+R+RBI model keeps hitting. A look at the July slate so far — the wins, the losses, and which angles are producing edges.

SOT props, anytime scorers, and match result parlays — what the World Cup taught us about finding value in soccer betting markets that most bettors overlook.

The Rams landed the best defensive player in football and immediately became +600 favorites. But is the narrative already priced in — or is there still value?

From a generational pass rusher taken second overall to a running back drafted higher than anyone since Saquon Barkley — these five rookies are built to contribute from Week 1.

A transparent look at our 44-25 record so far this season — what's worked, what hasn't, and how we're adjusting the model.

Top MLB prop betting angles for the week of June 8–14, 2026 — Sanchez vs Blue Jays, Misiorowski vs Athletics, Schlittler's Cy Young case, and the best H+R+RBI spots of the week.

Top MLB prop betting angles for the week of June 2–8, 2026 — Cristopher Sanchez's historic run, Ohtani vs Gallen, Misiorowski, and the best H+R+RBI spots of the week.

Every MLB matchup this weekend graded for prop and total betting value — from the Misiorowski/Imai gem in Houston to deGrom vs. the Cardinals and PHI/LAD round two.

Top MLB prop betting angles for the May 30 weekend slate — Braves at Coors, PHI/LAD, and the hitters to target in favorable matchups.

K props look straightforward but hide serious traps. Here's how to separate high-K-rate pitchers who actually beat the number from those who look good on paper but keep getting burned.

How to evaluate MLB game totals — understanding how lines are set, when to bet the over vs. under, and how pitching matchups, ballparks, and bullpen depth all factor in.

A practical guide to turning matchup-adjusted H+R+RBI projections into real betting edges — what the model tells you, what it doesn't, and how to fill the gaps.

Week 7 MLB prop preview: the Athletics' six-man surge, a Coors Field three-game stack, and which regression-candidate pitchers to target with hitter props.

This week's top matchups, pitching edges, and hitter spots worth watching for prop bettors.

A step-by-step framework for evaluating hits, runs, and RBI prop bets — from matchup data to lineup positioning and ballpark factors.

How to break down a starting pitcher matchup and spot opportunities that the market might be missing.

The boring part of betting that separates long-term winners from everyone else. A practical guide to unit sizing, variance, and staying disciplined.

ERA, WHIP, OPS, wOBA — what do they actually tell you, and which ones matter most when you're placing bets?

Most bettors chase moneylines and totals. Here's why pitcher strikeout props consistently offer the best value in MLB betting — and the data that proves it.