NHL Team Model
Offense/defense power rankings and matchup projections — win probability, game & team totals, and puck line — built from recent-form goals data.
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Offense/Defense Rating of 1.00 = exactly league average. Above 1.00 is a better-than-average offense (or defense). Click a column header to sort.
v1 model: a Poisson scoring model using each team's rolling goals-for/against relative to league average, with a modest home-ice boost. It does not yet account for shot quality, special teams, injuries, or goalie-specific matchups — treat it as a power-ranking signal to combine with judgment, not a finished betting model. Market odds carry the sportsbook's margin, so "edge" is an approximation, not a true de-vigged comparison. All projections are for research purposes — not financial advice. Must be 18+.